Technological Event Horizon – Predicting the Future

How can you predict the future of technology and what is a Technological Event Horizon ? Technology moves in 2 paces, evolution and revolutions. The normal pace of technology is speeding up, the amount of time it will take to implement a new feature in new products is decreasing. Think about the printing press, invented in 1440 …

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Strong AI vs Weak AI – or really AI vs smart algoritmes

Do you know the Chines room  – it is a cleaver way to explain algoritmes vs AI? Boiled down its this : Suppose some girl/dude write a very cleaver algorithm that can read questions written in Chinese and answer them – it will do so 100% like a human, it will pass the Turings test – …

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30% of all jobs in high income countries – gone in 20 years

You hear this claim all the time – but is it true ? An examples first : Hans Moravec, doing work on AI. In 1998 he wrote that by 2010 he expected the first generations of robots doing normal house work. By 2020 he expected second generation of robots, self learning, auto correcting robots By …

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